Sunday, January 29, 2023

Requirements Drivel and AI in Corporate America

Efforts to develop Artificial Intelligence (AI) capabilities to create software recently generated headlines when stories were published describing how OpenAI built a coding tool named ChatGPT by generating AI rules from scanning millions of lines of source code housed in repositories within GitHub. GitHub was purchased by Microsoft in 2018 and Microsoft not only allowed the scanning of these GitHub repositories for this purpose, it invested in OpenAI to fund the effort. The main concern raised with that news was that such a capability would essentially allow the creation of new, derivative works using patterns -- if not complete actual snippets of source -- from other parties' copyrighted code without prior permission or even compensation.

OpenAI is now attempting to augment the training process for its product with an additional approach summarized here on the web site Semafor:

https://www.semafor.com/article/01/27/2023/openai-has-hired-an-army-of-contractors-to-make-basic-coding-obsolete

OpenAI's new idea? Hire over one thousand developers to solve a variety of "canned" programming problems, have those developers create a prose description of how they defined the problem and structured their code to solve it, then feed the code and the prose into databases to be scanned by training algorithms for ChatGPT. The idea behind this approach is to create a better mapping BACKWARD from working code examples to higher level non-technical "asks" that might come from "business owners" to further streamline the process and make development faster and less expensive. Extrapolated to an extreme, a result of this approach could be to allow a non-technical "business owner" to type in a description of a capability they want in their lingo and map it to actual code / data concepts required to implement and build it.

At first glance, this idea of enhancing AI training by having it look further up the development cycle closer to business users makes sense. It might even help avoid legal disputes over copyright violations stemming from focusing solely on source patterns, or make it easier to deflect copyright claims in court.

Except...

The effort involves having the DEVELOPER solve the problem then provide a PROSE explanation on how they approached the problem then feeding (code + developer prose) into the AI. Can anyone spot the problems with that?

First, the prose being fed to train the AI comes from the DEVELOPER, not the original "business owner." That's not how most large-scale software systems are created. Developers are the LAST in a line of specialties involved in parsing someone's "requirements" prose from one vernacular (perhaps the "business owner's" requirements writers) to another (perhaps the developer team's business analyst team) to another (the enterprise architects) to another (the solution team's architects) then the actual developers. Every one of those handoffs requires re-interpretation and introduces new semantics which can obscure or distort intent.

The second problem is that not all developers excel at explaining in prose terms WHAT they are building, WHY they are building it that way and HOW it will actually work. The code may be perfect but there is no guarantee someone outside the head of the developer will be able to understand the solution from the developer's description of it. Granted, some of the best developers have TREMENDOUS communication and coding skills which makes them such good developers. Unfortunately, not everyone works for Lake Woebegone Systems, where all of the developers are above average in this area. In many cases, the prose created as explanation for what / why will likely be so poorly structured it could prevent an AI from accurately parsing / extrapolating it to new scenarios.

Thirdly, companies building imaginative new systems with Google-level engineering teams likely have better engineers and better requirements writers to use as training fodder but chances are, these upper-crust firms are probably the least interested in using this type of AI. Their teams can create a web service in a few days and launch a new feature on their customer portal in a few weeks. The target market for these AI capabilities is the typical Fortune 500 firm needing ongoing development of tools for internal HR / accounting / analytics systems. Those systems are typically controlled by departmental executives who

  • have little or no understanding of their existing or desired business processes
  • have little or no understanding of the technical aspects of their existing or desired business processes
  • have little or no interest in learning about the details to provide better process designs or requirements
  • don't trust the team within the company formally assigned to do development / integration work on their behalf
  • often have their own parallel sets of business owners, project managers and business analysts to provide direction to the actual development team

This is a horrible environment in which to work for all parties involved but it is driven by turf battles which inevitably crop up when leaders value control and autonomy (or the illusion of control and autonomy) over efficiency, cost effectiveness and security of the larger firm. It is these layers of overhead for "client" ownership / project management / business analysis added to the "delivery organization" ownership / project management / business analysis that turn $500,000 projects into $2,000,000 dollar projects or $3,000,000 into $15,000,000 projects that are delivered months / years late with only small fractions of the originally promised functionality. Until those duplicate resources are eliminated and the underlying turf battles that created them are eliminated, pointing AI systems at the drivel that passes for "requirements" in Corporate America will barely move the needle on any measure of quality, functionality or cost.


WTH

Sunday, January 15, 2023

National Security Theatre

The issues with unauthorized possession of classified documents on the part of both Donald Trump and Joe Biden make one thing perfectly clear... Operating the United States as a national security state has become untenable.

It's worthwhile to get one point across up front. This is not an exercise in "whataboutism" now that a Democrat has been found to have removed classified materials and possessed them unlawfully and housed them in insecure, unlawful facilities. Laws are laws and whatever those laws specify as punishment for such actions once proven should be applied equally to anyone violating them. Even if the offender is a former President or a former Vice President who is now President.

The problem here is that the actions of Trump and Biden clearly reflect that the larger constructs of law and procedure around the protection of "national security" information are primarily theatre. As more of the official actions of the United States as a country become subject to a shroud of secrecy under the guise of thwarting terrorism, thwarting international financial crimes that support terrorism or hiding first / second / third / nth level blowback from prior top secret actions taken decades ago in the name of security and freedom, the ability of citizens to provide informed consent to the actions taken by the government becomes seriously compromised. In fiscal year 2022, a total of $85 billion dollars was appropriated for the National Intelligence Program and Military Intelligence Program. That sounds like nothing in a $21 trillion dollar economy or $6.3 trillion dollar federal budget -- it's 1.3 percent of the budget -- but that spending involves roughly 30,000 employees in the NSA and 21,500 employees in the CIA.

In the cases of Trump and Biden, no partisan on either side could legitimately argue with a straight face that one case involves the actor (Trump or Biden or some staffer) consciously sifting through a pile of sensitive documents saying take / leave / leave / take / take / take while the other just represents an actor indiscriminately sweeping an entire tabletop of documents into a box and putting it in a van on load-out day when leaving office. These cases indicate the entire concept of document security is routinely treated with a nod and a wink by senior officials (elected or appointed) and their staffs. For these "moving day" packing offenses to have occured, it has to be a ROUTINE occurrence for sensitive printed materials shared in sensitive meetings in secured rooms to be REMOVED by the participants for follow-up reading at night, etc. That's not how the process is supposed to work.

Most Americans likely assume "national security" secrets are protected by laws with language defining a taxonomy of offenses similar to this:

  1. stealing classified documents and sharing with foreign actors
  2. sharing information within classified documents with foreign actors
  3. stealing classified documents and sharing with domestic actors
  4. sharing information within classified documents with domestic actors
  5. viewing classified documents above one's clearance level and sharing the info (foreign or domestic)
  6. viewing classified documents above one's clearance level - even if the info is not shared
  7. removing classified documents from secured facilities - even if the actor has matching clearance, even if the documents are not shared and even if they are later returned

The actual laws covering the protection and disclosure of national security information can be found in the following sections of the US code:

Unauthorized Removal / Retention - US Code, Title 18, Section 1924 at https://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/text/18/1924

(a) Whoever, being an officer, employee, contractor, or consultant of the United States, and, by virtue of his office, employment, position, or contract, becomes possessed of documents or materials containing classified information of the United States, knowingly removes such documents or materials without authority and with the intent to retain such documents or materials at an unauthorized location shall be fined under this title or imprisoned for not more than five years, or both.

(b) For purposes of this section, the provision of documents and materials to the Congress shall not constitute an offense under subsection (a).

(c) In this section, the term “classified information of the United States” means information originated, owned, or possessed by the United States Government concerning the national defense or foreign relations of the United States that has been determined pursuant to law or Executive order to require protection against unauthorized disclosure in the interests of national security.

Disclosure -- US Code, Title 50, Subchapter IV, Section 3121 at https://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/text/50/3121

(a) Disclosure of information by persons having or having had access to classified information that identifies covert agent

Whoever, having or having had authorized access to classified information that identifies a covert agent, intentionally discloses any information identifying such covert agent to any individual not authorized to receive classified information, knowing that the information disclosed so identifies such covert agent and that the United States is taking affirmative measures to conceal such covert agent’s intelligence relationship to the United States, shall be fined under title 18 or imprisoned not more than 15 years, or both.

(b) Disclosure of information by persons who learn identity of covert agents as result of having access to classified information

Whoever, as a result of having authorized access to classified information, learns the identity of a covert agent and intentionally discloses any information identifying such covert agent to any individual not authorized to receive classified information, knowing that the information disclosed so identifies such covert agent and that the United States is taking affirmative measures to conceal such covert agent’s intelligence relationship to the United States, shall be fined under title 18 or imprisoned not more than 10 years, or both.

(c) Disclosure of information by persons in course of pattern of activities intended to identify and expose covert agents

Whoever, in the course of a pattern of activities intended to identify and expose covert agents and with reason to believe that such activities would impair or impede the foreign intelligence activities of the United States, discloses any information that identifies an individual as a covert agent to any individual not authorized to receive classified information, knowing that the information disclosed so identifies such individual and that the United States is taking affirmative measures to conceal such individual’s classified intelligence relationship to the United States, shall be fined under title 18 or imprisoned not more than three years, or both.

(d) Imposition of consecutive sentences

A term of imprisonment imposed under this section shall be consecutive to any other sentence of imprisonment.

It's worth highlighting the most important aspects of these laws.
  • Each clause begins with the word WHOEVER. One even further explicitly states the law applies to anyone contacting the material by virtue of their OFFICE. There is no exemption for senior leaders, not even the President.
  • Title 18 pertaining to removal / retention was last amended in 2018 during the Trump Administration as an attempt to raise the bar for future events in response to Hillary Clinton housing emails flagged as confidential on a non-government private server during her tenure as Secretary of State.
  • ALL of the clauses related to disclosure include a requirement to demonstrate INTENT to disclose any sensitive information, implying that INADVERTENT disclosure itself does not trigger criminal sanctions.
  • The clauses related to removal / retention include language requiring KNOWLEDGE of the removal of sensitive material outside a properly secured context, implying "accidental" removal of a document would not trigger criminal sanctions.
  • The clauses related to removal / retention also include language requiring INTENT to retain the documents outside properly approved facilities. As discussed below, this requirement creates enormous prosecutorial exposure, given past cases.

Most Americans assume these laws are interpreted as "get caught with a doc above your grade or get caught with a doc at your grade outside authorized facilities and proceed to jail - do not pass go." That seems to be the way most professionals in contact with this material interpret the law as well, and for good reason. Numerous military, intelligence and State Department officials, employees and contractors have been prosecuted and convicted for improper handling of sensitive materials. Penalties included loss of security clearance, fines and jail time.

https://www.voanews.com/a/fbi-justice-department-routinely-prosecute-misuse-of-classified-documents/6694887.html

The examples in the above article provide better context on how prosecutors and courts interpret the language in these statutes. Certainly DISCLOSURE of information to outside parties will assure prosecution, and rightly so. However, disclosure to other parties of such information is NOT a requirement to face charges under the removal / retention statute. Even for removal / retention, these cases contain no example of a scenario in which sensitive materials were identified as missing, located under the control of an actor outside secure facilities, determined to be an "accidental" removal by sloppy housekeeping and still triggered prosecution. Each of these cases involved an actor who copied individual files, stockpiled entire hard drives and CD ROM media or had transcribed sensitive information to paper and accumulated it in unauthorized locations (usually their home). That's a pretty high bar of intent.

At this point, short of discovery of actual DISCLOSURE of materials to third party (something not yet cited publicly in either case), the fate of the Trump and Biden cases will come down to interpretations of "intent" under the removal / retention laws. Given the surprisingly lax interpretation of intent, focusing on "moving day" as the point of the crime when documents in a VP office or Oval Office / White House residence were swept en masse into boxes at the end of a term will likely result in a finding of no intent. However, for sloppiness on moving day to even be a problem, the documents involved were ALREADY located outside authorized secure facilities by being present in private quarters or administrative offices and accumulating over time. That could be interpreted as "intent to retain" outside an authorized facility based on multiple documents reflecting a pattern of removing documents outside secure facilities. It would seem Trump's exposure to "intent" is higher due to his public statements that the documents involved in his case were his -- they were not.

It seems likely that no office space of the Vice President qualifies as a SCIF so any sensitive material packed by VP Biden staffers out of VP offices reflected failures at prior points to leave such materials inside secure facilities. In the case of the President, the Oval Office likely counts as a SCIF in addition to the Situation Room but it isn't clear what other areas of the West Wing are treated as a SCIF. Certainly, the rest of the White House should NOT be treated as such. If documents were packed directly out of the Oval Office, clearly those doing the packing should have been trained in recognizing sensitive materials and leaving them in the room or immediately providing it as required under separate law to the National Archives. For other documents packed from other locations in the White House, those documents again reflect a continued pattern of prior behavior taking sensitive material from secured facilities and retaining it in insecure locations, in violation of the law.

So if some of the nation's top secrets are winding up in a locked storeroom at Mar-a-Lago where the extra ballroom chairs are kept or in Joe's locked garage with his Corvette, are these laws regarding disclosure and removal / retention of national security secrets functioning as a deterrent? The public record doesn't (yet) provide examples to support it, but it seems highly unlikely that a wider range of people with access have not engaged in similar behavior if we've already found a VP, a President, a general and a senior national security advisor grossly mishandling top secrets. If it is common for those with access to give these laws lip service, that means these laws aren't going unenforced, they're just being enforced SELECTIVELY, making them a tool for repression and persecution. If someone with a conscience comes across a "secret" so counter to the country's stated values and leaks it, THAT gets prosecuted. If DOZENS (HUNDREDS?) of elected and appointed officials skim off copies of interesting secrets, co-mingle them with the daily detritus of constituent letters, meeting minutes and personal business then take them home for their post-government influence peddling consulting career, THAT seems perfectly acceptable.

What are the next possible steps at this point?

  1. Prosecute, convict and punish Trump and Biden equally for illegal removing of classified documents and illegal housing of classified documents (***).
  2. If it can be confirmed information in the documents has not been actually compromised, decline prosecution of Trump and Biden for removal / housing but retroactively review prior cases and pardon those offenders with identical circumstances as well.
  3. Amend these statutes to require an official from the National Archives to be present on load-out day for those exiting office with top security clearances.
  4. Reset expectations across the Administrative and Legislative branches by conducting mandatory training for staff regarding obligations under these laws and alter meeting protocols to explicitly collect sensitive materials at the conclusion of meetings.

*** Note that as of this writing, the Trump and Biden scenarios are NOT legally identical in all aspects. As of January 15, 2023,

  • there is no sign ex-VP Biden or current President Biden rejected requests to return documents requested by responsible agencies or the National Archives
  • there is no sign ex-VP Biden or current President Biden submitted sworn affidavits falsely stating full compliance with any pre-subpoena request for the return of documents
  • there is no sign ex-VP Biden or current President Biden submitted sworn affidavits falsely stating full compliance with any actual subpoena-backed request for the return of documents
  • there is no sign ex-VP Biden or current President Biden made a public claim of ownership of any sensitive documents, which weakens any argument for claiming inadvertent removal and bolsters a prosecutor's claim that the actor KNEW they were removing documents in violation of the law


  • WTH

Wednesday, January 11, 2023

BOOK REVIEW: These Truths

These Truths - A History of the United States - Jill Lepore - 789 pages

Jill Lepore's book These Truths was published in 2018 to provide a one-volume history of America from 1492 to the present that could provide a better context to understand the conflicts -- economic, social and thus political -- the country has faced throughout that history. By purposely limiting the attempt to a single volume (though a big one at 789 pages), Lepore had to jettison what might be characterized as "Schoolhouse Rock" / tourist trap history encased in impenetrable / distorting mythology such as the first Thanksgiving, the Boston Tea Party, etc. The Revolutionary War is referenced over roughly fourteen pages. The Civil War itself is touched upon over seventeen pages. Instead, most of the book focuses on the events AROUND those events, leading up to them and following them, as different interests fought to gain advantage and weaken their perceived opponents.

The title of the book, of course, draws from some of the most quoted language in the American Declaration of Independence

We hold these truths to be self-evident, that all men are created equal, that they are endowed by their Creator with certain unalienable Rights, that among these are Life, Liberty and the pursuit of Happiness.--That to secure these rights, Governments are instituted among Men, deriving their just powers from the consent of the governed, --That whenever any Form of Government becomes destructive of these ends, it is the Right of the People to alter or to abolish it, and to institute new Government, laying its foundation on such principles and organizing its powers in such form, as to them shall seem most likely to effect their Safety and Happiness.

The thesis of the book is that the pattern of conflict throughout America's entire history doesn't make much sense if everyone involved shared the same understanding of the truths so stated and believed in them. The history of America makes much more sense if one recognizes that many of its founding principles were NOT at the time and ARE NOT now "self-evident" because they were intentionally written with ambiguity or blatant exclusionary bias in order to pass political muster at the time of origin. Once the intentionally compromised "principals" were set down in writing and adopted as the country's starting point, they immediately triggered continuous conflict between the powerful and the excluded, the wealthy and the poor, the owners versus the laborers, the whites versus the minorities and men versus women as those left on the outside attempted to win equal standing in society.

In some sense, attempting to learn American history by looking at the highlights is akin to trying to understand the sun's corona by looking directly at the sun. Until the sun is blocked with an eclipse, the glare of the core will obscure the events around the fringe. The same is true for history. An understanding of where and when the major events occurred is needed but studying around the edges of those events can cut through years of fact polishing and identify contradictions with accepted history that provide a more accurate picture of what happened and why.

Lepore accomplishes that within These Truths by providing insights into aspects of our politics and processes that are invisible givens -- processes or states of existence physically seen every day which are not treated as anything special because they are viewed as always having been present. For some of the processes, if they are thought about at all, they are assumed to be "obvious" because they provide such clear benefits to citizens. The book abounds with examples Lepore provides that break these assumptions and, in some cases, identify original motivations that were completely opposite of current day assumptions and concepts of justice. As I read texts like this, I cut up Post-Its into thin strips that can be tacked onto a page precisely at a sentence worth coming back to. After completing the book, my "Post-it markup" involved over fifty tags of these surprising / counterintuitive "givens." Some examples:


Secret Ballots -- Secret ballots were not implemented as a better solution for eliminating the possibility of coercion at the polls but as a barrier to prevent illiterate blacks from voting. Prior to secret ballots, ballots were often pre-printed with a slate of party candidates and voters could bring a ballot with them to the polling place but didn't necessarily have to be able to read. Adoption of secret ballots banned the use of pre-printed ballots, requiring each voter to read a ballot at the polling place, posing an obstacle to the illiterate. While it might seem logical to require a voter to be at least intelligent enough to be able to read, the motivation for the change was racist, since the proportion of illiterate blacks was much higher than whites.

Semantic Ricochets -- Discriminatory language in the original Constitution has led to tortured logic in Supreme Court rulings which go on to create additional odd political rifts. The Muller vs Oregon case of 1908 established the constitutionality of labor laws but did so by creating the right to enact laws with specific language providing specific protection for women because overwork "is more disastrous to the health of women than of men, and entails upon them more lasting injury." That language created an unexpected (and perverse, from a modern perspective) split in the larger women's rights movement. Would passage of an "equal rights" amendment mean women would lose these protections and wind up working under the same conditions as men? That fear was effective at splitting the women's rights bloc through the 1970s.

Electoral College Blowback -- The Bush/Gore race was not the first Presidential race where the popular vote winner "lost" under murky circumstances. The 1876 Presidential race pitted Republican Rutherford B Hayes against Democrat Samuel Tilden. Tilden won the popular vote but Republicans disputed votes in three states, leading to a brokered deal in electoral college voting. Under the deal, the Democratic Party found a few electors willing to switch their vote to the Republican IN EXCHANGE for the Republican Party agreeing to eliminate Reconstruction efforts in the South. Both parties kept their side of the agreement, Hayes was elected President, Republicans withdrew federal troops from the South and Southern legislatures immediately began enacting new segregationist laws and supporting them with state resources and forces like the Ku Klux Klan. As a result of this deal, the promotion of civil rights was abandoned by the Republicans and omitted as a major driver in politics for ninety more years.

Personhood for Corporations -- The legal concept that corporations are "persons" for the purposes of "equal protection" under the Fourteenth Amendment stems from the case Santa Clara County vs Southern Pacific Railroad in 1886. The railroad sued the county over a tax issue, claiming the tax violated the corporation's rights as a "person." The corporation's case was argued in front of the Supreme Court by Roscoe Conkling who had also served on a commission that drafted the Fourteenth Amendment and -- as of 1886 - was the only living member of that committee. He claimed the committee's discussions and the intent in the amendment itself was that corporations were included in the definitions of "persons" which is why the amendment did not use the word citizen instead of person. However, there are no surviving written records of the committee's deliberations to back his claim. The Supreme Court nonetheless based its ruling on that "fact." Author Lepore includes a quote from Supreme Court Justice Hugo Black in 1937.. "Only one half of one percent of the Fourteenth Amendment cases that came before the court had anything to do with African Americans or former slaves, while over half the cases were about protecting the rights of corporations."

Abortion Politics -- Until the mid 1970s, most Republicans and evangelicals supported family planning and abortion rights. In 1965, former Presidents Eisenhower and Truman co-chaired a Planned Parenthood committee aimed at protecting access to contraception. Only after the Roe v. Wade decision in 1971 did Republicans begin shifting. Nixon speechwriter Pat Buchannan convinced Nixon that abortion was a hot-button issue with Catholics and could be an effective lever in the 1972 Presidential campaign and Nixon, despite despising Catholics along with many other groups, cynically switched sides to capture that bloc of voters to help ensure his win in 1972.


Across the five hundred plus years of history covered, nearly all of the events covered in the book map to a common theme. After adopting the Constitution as "America 2.0" after the failed Articles of Confederation, the leaders creating 2.0 did not view the resulting platform as perfect. All viewed it as a "least worst" guideline that could have a chance at passage across all states. All involved KNEW it obviously failed to provide a consistent answer for slavery. Abolitionists feared it not only failed to set an end-date for slavery in existing states but failed to address how slavery might expand with new states. Slaveholders feared it didn't permanently protect slavery where it existed or leave enough daylight to ensure it could expand into new territories and states. All involved KNEW that the document explicitly omitted any reference to women. Even prior to the drafting of the Declaration of Independence, Abigail Adams noted the following in a letter to husband John Adams whose crafting of the Constitution for the State of Massachusetts in 1780 was used as a template for much of the US Constitution.

I long to hear that you have declared an independancy—and by the way in the new Code of Laws which I suppose it will be necessary for you to make I desire you would Remember the Ladies, and be more generous and favourable to them than your ancestors. Do not put such unlimited power into the hands of the Husbands. Remember all Men would be tyrants if they could. If perticuliar [sic] care and attention is not paid to the Laidies [sic] we are determined to foment a Rebellion, and will not hold ourselves bound by any Laws in which we have no voice, or Representation.

Adams' reply to his wife?

As to your extraordinary Code of Laws, I cannot but laugh. We have been told that our struggle has unloosed the bands of Government every where. That Children and Apprentices were disobedient -- that schools and Colleges were grown turbulent -- that Indians slighted their Guardians and Negroes grew insolent to their Masters. Depend upon it. We know better than to repeal our Masculine systems.

Stated another way, the leaders involved in creating the Constitution weren't trapped within some time machine bubble of eighteenth century language, culture and mores that blinded them to the obvious racial / gender / economic inequities and hypocrisies in the language they were adopting. These inequities were the cause of intense debate for DECADES prior to the Revolution. The founders toiled for MONTHS in 1787 to exclude language that might correct the flaws we now see as obvious and willingly / consistently "under-interpreted" most of the lofty language about "all men are created equal" and "unalienable rights endowed by their Creator" that made it into the final document. The final result was not an optimistic "stretch goal" statement of principles helping everyone but instead it was a collection of compromises addressing the desires of the rich and powerful while minimizing the extension of rights to additional interests -- women, slaves, minorities.

That's a crucial point to understand in the present. A prior post on Constitutional Gene Therapy stated one way current political battles are framed depicts a struggle between two opposing assumptions about our Constitution:

On the Republican side, the argument is basically that the Founding Fathers created a nearly perfect set of principals whose effectiveness in the intervening two hundred forty six years has been sullied only by modern generations reading into the original language intents that were never there instead of legislating new intents or explicitly amending the Constitution to allow such intents if not present in these "originalist" interpretations. If only we could "get back" to the original undistorted interpretation of a document created by slaveholders that didn't provide voting rights to women, we could straighten things out.

On the Democratic side, the argument is basically that the Founding Fathers created a nearly perfect set of principals for continually evolving to a "more perfect union" and that progress towards perfection is being slowed down by special interests corrupting the systems that allow the forces defined by the Constitution to function properly. In other words, the country didn't start in a perfect place, the country is certainly not IN a perfect place, but the systems in place SHOULD be capable of working to make progress over time if used ethically in good faith.

That post made the point that both arguments are incorrect. Our battles stem from the fact that the Constitution itself was flawed at its inception and remains flawed in many ways, despite many amendments. Lepore's book cements that point and provides quotes from the most famous founding fathers and leaders since which explicitly confirm THEY didn't view the document as perfect.

From Gouverneur Morris, addressing the Constitutional Convention during debates over slavery and the three-fifths compromise that counted slaves for purposes of setting numbers of Representatives but excluded slaves from counting as citizens with rights:

The inhabitant of Georgia and South Carolina who goes to the Coast of Africa, and in defiance of the most sacred laws of humanity tears away his fellow creatures for their dearest connections and damns them to the most cruel bondages, shall have more votes in a Government instituted for protection of the rights of mankind, than the Citizen of Pennsylvania or New Jersey who views with a laudable horror, so nefarious a practice.

From John Dickinson, of Pennsylvania:

What will be said of this new principle of founding a right to govern Freemen on a power derived from slaves? The omitting the Word [of slavery] will be regarded as an Endeavour to conceal a principle of which we are ashamed.

From Benjamin Franklin, addressing the Constitutional Convention on its last day in September 1787 as leaders reviewed the final draft to be submitted for ratification to the states:

I confess that there are several parts of this constitution which I do not at present approve, but I am not sure I shall never approve them. For having lived long, I have experienced many instances of being obliged by better information, or fuller consideration, to change opinions even on important subjects, which I once thought right, but found to be otherwise. It is therefore that the older I grow, the more apt I am to doubt my own judgement, and to pay more respect to the judgement of others. Most men indeed as well as most sects in Religion, think themselves in possession of all truth, and that wherever others differ from them it is so far error. Thus I consent, Sir, to this Constitution because I expect no better, and because I am not sure, that it is not the best.

Finally, there is Abraham Lincon, in 1862, in the middle of a Civil War stemming from these exact flaws in our original constitutional DNA:

We must disenthrall ourselves, then we can save the country.
Lincon's quote is worth remembering amid current debates. Anyone claiming to promote policies that take us back to a golden era of America guided by the original, undiluted, undistorted wisdom of the founding fathers either has no comprehension of history or is selling a Disney-fied version of history to mask the true intent of their actions. The existence of conflicts over rights between men and women, between ethnic blocs, between individuals versus corporations and between the governed and the government isn't a reflection of the country straying from its founding principals. Those conflicts are frequently the direct consequence of the failure of those original principals as written and interpreted to meet the needs of citizens -- in history or in the present. Lapore's book These Truths serves as a useful guide to seeing that pattern across the entire existence of the United States and appreciating the gray nuances of reality versus the false, simplified black and white view served up by politicians and the media.


WTH

Friday, January 06, 2023

Magic Moments of Danger

Millions around the world saw something this week that exposed an incredibly small probability of failure with DISASTROUS consequences within a system they previously thought they understood completely and never worried about. They watched a heavily padded and protected, physically fit top-tier professional athlete take a relatively mundane hit to the sternum during a game, get up from the field then drop like a stone near death.

Most people thought they understand how the human cardiovascular system works. The heart will continue pumping as long as it isn't punctured with a bullet or weapon or a major arterial failure doesn't block blood flow or the brain isn't damaged. As a result of this scary NFL incident, peole have learned there is a magic 40 millisecond window of time in EVERY heartbeat cycle during which a severe blow can disrupt the chemical pacemaker cycle and render the heart unable to pump, risking brain damage in seconds and death in minutes. Seems like a major design flaw, right? Well, it's human physiology. THere's not much that can be done to solve the problem other than avoiding blows to the chest. Very few appreciated that prior to this week. (In fact, it happens about 30-40 times yearly in America, primarily with children playing sports whose ribs are not yet adult-strength to fend off more force from incoming hits of helmuts, pucks, soccer balls, etc.)

This NFL event was a lesson in "freak conditions" that can produce unexpected disaster in a biological context. It is an odd coincidence that this lesson in cardiovascular danger occurs at the same time events are demonstrating similar patterns in our political system. The same dynamic played out on January 6, 2021. The certification of electoral college votes was a process few thought about at all and fewer only thought of as a mere formality re-enacted as a bit of eighteenth century nostalgia. That process had enough ambiguity in interpretations of how the process should be executed to tempt criminals into thinking they could inject enough chaos and doubt into the process in order to reject results from a legitimate election.

Extending the oddity, the SAME set of actors involved with that criminal attempt at rejecting an election have now identified ANOTHER magic moment in routine democratic processes -- election of a Speaker of the House -- to again inject chaos and delay in order to paralyze government. The actors involved have essentiallly turned parliamentary math into a weapon to use not only against the minority party but the majority of their own majority party. After three days and eleven votes, the majority party's presumptive candidate for speaker has been unable to win a majority due to twenty consistent hold-outs from his own party. Frankly, the short-term humiliation couldn't find a more suitable target than Kevin McCarthy whose only consistent motivation for any act is the pursuit of power.

The unique problem is that while Kevin McCarthy's sole goal is the acquisition of power, the sole goal of these holdouts is chaos and paralysis. None have been able to identify a legislative outcome to swap in exchange for coming on board to support their party's nominee. They won't even accept the next most logical leader in their caucus because he is a member of the first nominee's leadership team. The consequences of this paralysis are important. House members have not been sworn in so members associated with intelligence functions cannot receive security briefings. The House must originate all spending bills so any emergency need for disaster relief, etc. would be in jeopardy pending a Speaker selection. And under rules sought by this faction, the risk of immediate paralysis would essentially become continuous for the entire term by alloiwng a SINGLE MEMBER to trigger a no-confidence vote.

It shouldn't be any surprise that a party has sunk to these depths to have members willing to hold the entire government hostage to irrational demands. The party involved is the same party boasting a newly elected Representitive, George Santos, who lied on nearly every aspect of his resume and personal history, with the possible exception of his first name and last name. Even that is in doubt after a video was shared of one of the eleven votes for speaker in which he failed to respond to his name being called in the roll call TWICE before finally chiming in with his vote.

It should bother the American public greatly that current events are identifying so many flaws in our democratic blueprints that seem to pose a risk for such massive failures. It should bother the American public far more that there are sects within America that seem so bent on seeking these flaws out and leveraging them as weapons of political, economic and social destruction against their perceived enemies which, at this point, appears to be everyone. Unlike the magic moment of danger in the human cardiovascular system, these magic moments of danger in politics are not immutable. All of them stem from human decisions and flawed assumptions and CAN be reduced or eliminated with better processes and law enforcement. Do we have the intelligence and courage to identify and correct them? It's two years to the day and counting since an armed insurrection promoted by a President was staged with no major player indicted much less convicted and imprisoned so the prognosis is not looking good.


WTH